Trump leads Biden in 7 swing states: Emerson

Apr 30, 2024 | Political News

New polling has revealed that Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in seven swing states, including when third-party candidates are added into the mix.

Swing state polls from Emerson College Polling/The Hill found that Trump leads Biden in Arizona 48 to 44 percent, in Georgia 47 to 44 percent, in Michigan 45 to 44 percent, in Nevada 45 to 44 percent, in North Carolina 47 to 42 percent, in Pennsylvania 47 to 45 percent, and in Wisconsin 47 to 45 percent.

When independent candidate Robert F Kennedy and an option for “other” candidates are added, Trump leads Biden 44 to 40 percent in Arizona, 45 to 39 percent in Georgia, 43 to 42 percent in Michigan, 42 to 37 percent in Nevada, 46 to 37 percent in North Carolina, 45 to 41 percent in Pennsylvania, and 45 to 40 percent in Wisconsin.

“The state of the presidential election in swing states has remained relatively consistent since Emerson and The Hill started tracking them last November,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “The share of undecided voters has reduced and Biden gained ground in Georgia and Nevada, narrowing the gap, while Trump has maintained a slight edge on Biden in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.”

Kimball noted that independent voters preferred Trump over Biden in Arizona (48-38 percent), Michigan (44-35 percent), Nevada (43-37 percent), Pennsylvania (49-33 percent), and North Carolina (41-38 percent). Independent voters preferred Biden over Trump in Georgia (42-38 percent) and Wisconsin (44-41 percent).

Speaking outside the Manhattan courtroom where District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s falsified business records trial continued on Monday, Trump noted the polling results.

“The whole thing is a hoax, all of them are hoaxes, including the civil cases. They’re controlled by the White House, they’re controlled by Democrat judges and prosecutors that were put there, specifically they hate Trump and the people are getting it. That's why what just came out — a new Emerson poll just was released about two minutes ago. And I'm leading by a lot in every swing state, and leading in the general election and you saw the CNN poll. I'm sure they aren't too happy with it, but the CNN poll was fantastic. So we're here.”

The polls were conducted between April 25 and 29 of 1000 registered voters in each respective state. “The credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error, for the sample is +/- 3% in 19 of 20 cases in each state,” the poll states.