Poll: Third party candidates boost Trump’s lead over Biden

Mar 20, 2024 | Political News

Former President Donald Trump is narrowly beating President Joe Biden in a head-to-head faceoff going into November, a new national poll shows.
 

The Center Square’s Voter’s Voice poll conducted with Noble Predictive Insights was released Wednesday, showing Trump beating Biden 46%-45% with likely voters. The rest are unsure.

When you include options to vote for third party candidates as well, Trump’s lead over Biden grows. When the poll includes Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West and Jill Stein, Trump’s lead grows to 3 points.

In the five-person matchup, Kennedy nabbed 7% support while West and Stein each won 1% support, leaving Trump beating Biden 43%-40% with another 7% not sure

True independents in this poll are independents who expressly say they do not lean toward one party or the other.

“That means that a lot of undecided voters who are on the fence are sitting in that RFK camp,” Byler said. “You’ll also notice that Joe Biden loses more support overall than Donald Trump when you move from a two-way matchup to a matchup that includes third parties. That suggests Joe Biden’s support is soft, that voters, if given another choice, are willing to move out of his camp even if that means giving Donald Trump a larger lead.”

A closer look at the poll shows Biden does better than Trump with female voters in a faceoff. Women prefer Biden 48%-41%.

Trump does better with male voters, beating Biden 50%-41%.

Notably, Trump does very well with Hispanic voters for a Republican candidate, beating Biden with 48% support to Biden’s 39%.