Minnesota in play for 2024 as Biden leads Trump by only 3 points: KSTP/SurveyUSA poll

Feb 1, 2024 | Political News

The state of Minnesota will be one to watch in the 2024 presidential election as a new poll reveals former President Donald Trump is only trailing Joe Biden by a few points.

With nine months left before the general election and Biden's approval rate among voters slipping, anything could happen in the Gopher State that voted Democrat in 2020.

A new poll conducted by KSTP and SurveyUSA reveals that President Biden leads Donald Trump by a mere 3 percentage points, 42 percent compared to 39 percent. 10 percent of recipients said they were undecided, while 9 percent said they would prefer someone else. The question had a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.

In the same survey, Donald Trump leads GOP challenger Nikki Haley by a large margin, with 76 percent in favor of Trump compared to 14 percent in favor of Haley.

When it comes to President Biden's main Democratic challenger, Congressman Dean Phillips, the president leads Phillips 70 percent to 9 percent.

The survey also reveals that Biden is not too favorable among the average Minnesota voter, with 54 percent of recipients indicating that they disapprove of President Biden, with 41 percent voting that they approve of Biden.

However, Biden's disapproval rating in Minnesota is quite modest compared to a national scale.

Steven Schier, a political analyst from Carleton College, says that Biden's disapproval numbers are not a good sign for the incumbent.

“You have an incumbent president. It’s his fourth year, an election year. He is well known. People have often made up their minds about the incumbent, and Joe Biden is at 54% disapproval in Minnesota. That is not good news for him,” said Schier, according to KSTP.

The survey, conducted between January 24 and 29, was of 2,100 respondents from the state of Minnesota. A total of 1,853 adults were found to be registered to vote; among those who were registered, SurveyUSA identified 1,594 as probable voters in the general election in November. 35 percent of respondents identified themselves as Republicans, 38 percent as Democrats, and 23 percent as independents. The survey was conducted online.